** Exane BNP Paribas analysts expect 2026 to be another year of cutting consensus estimates for European beverage names, warning that those for like-for-like (LFL) sales are overly optimistic for most market players
** They say that good share price performance for Carlsberg CARLb.CO is more likely than for Heineken HEIN.AS, and upgrade the Danish brewer to "outperform" from "neutral", while downgrading its Dutch-based rival to "neutral" from "outperform"
** The analysts also cut French spirit maker Pernod Ricard PERP.PA to "underperform" from "neutral," citing risks to sales estimates, and underlining a "deeply" negative sentiment on spirits market